Maybe it's not over…
From an email sent by Rob Black’s campaign on Wednesday…
I’m writing to let you know that over 5,000 absentee ballots cast in the election for District Six Supervisor have not yet been counted by the Department of Elections.It is highly likely that once the ballots are counted, no candidate for Supervisor in District Six will have received over 50% of the votes, and so the outcome of the race will be determined by instant-runoff voting.
This process may take several days. I will keep you updated as soon as new information comes in.
5,000 ballots? If you followed the election, you know that it was the initial absentee vote count that put Rob in the early lead, which was then overcome by the Tuesday voters. But if there are truly 5,000 uncounted absentee ballots, Daly has GOTTA be worried.
And I’m a bit optimistic (even though Chuck at the Chronicle Blog isn’t).
Because as long as I’ve been in SF, absentee voters have been strongly on the homeowner’s side of the measures that I cared about most (usually homeowner vs. the Tenant’s Union issues).
And don’t forget that Daly has never gotten more than roughly 6,000 votes (update: 6,645 votes in 2002)in either of his previous elections… Even if he gets 1,500 of those uncounted ballots (which would mean 1,000 more total votes than he got last time), he still loses in the end…
I would guess that most of the new voters in the district (read: homeowners) would rather push him into traffic than vote for him, and I would also venture to guess that a significant number of his previous voters have jumped ship. So that left his grassroots effort to get as many of his 6,000 constituents out to the polls on Tuesday.
Which he did quite well.
But it might not be over for Rob Black just yet.
Wouldn’t it be a sight to see Daly lose after the absentee votes and ranked-choice tally is complete?
His lovely wife may have spoken (and cursed) too soon…
Oooh, you give me hope! That seems like alot of absentee ballots, and I agree, they should favor Black.
etslee at November 9th, 2006 at 6:31 pm ( )Wow, that is great news. That chron guy was a non beleiver. Where can we get more info on this? If there are 5000 absentee balots out there in D6 Black wins. This would be too much.
Anonymous at November 9th, 2006 at 6:54 pm ( )Not sure where we can get more info, but at the very least, they’re calling for more info by Friday… So we only need to wait another day… And perhaps not even that long to see some interim results…
Matt Lanning at November 9th, 2006 at 8:16 pm ( )I would love to be in the room and see Daly fly off the handle if he has to go to a run off election.
Anonymous at November 10th, 2006 at 6:19 pm ( )So the Dist 6 RCV Results have been posted and it shows Daly with the majority. Does this include the absentee and provisional ballots? Does Black still have a chance or has the fat lady sung?
Foxy at November 11th, 2006 at 1:27 am ( )Unfortunately, I think this is it. There are still apparently 1,500 ballots that have been unconfirmed/uncounted in both D4 and D6, but as we saw from this last outstanding ballot count, it’s unlikely that all of those ballots would fall Black’s way (which is what would need to happen in order for him to win).
It’s a sad day for the 700,000+ San Franciscans that couldn’t vote in D6 but who will be forever affected by Daly’s antics and bad politics on the Board of Supervisors.
Matt Lanning at November 11th, 2006 at 4:51 pm ( )