Archive for the ‘san francisco buying’ Category

To Buy or to Rent: That is the Question

top-10-one-bedroom-rents-in-september-2015

Unless you are fortunate to live in a rent controlled building, you may have noticed your monthly rent rise dramatically in recent years. Checking in at $3,530 per month, the median rent for a one-bedroom has been the highest in the country for six months following a 13.5% rise last year (and up as much as 29.2% in Noe Valley). For many renters, what they pay out every month could easily be a mortgage payment on a comparable place– the monthly Principal + Interest on a $1,000,000 home is $3819.32, assuming 20% down and a 30-year mortgage fixed at 4%. As of today, there is more than 330 single-family homes and condos/TICs/lofts that are Active on the MLS listed for under $1,000,000.

Plugging in local San Francisco data (August 2015 sales figures) to the New York Times’ Rent vs. Buy calculator reveals some compelling numbers. Buying a condominium at August 2015’s $1,045,000 median sale price or a single-family home at the $1,225,444,000 median is a better financial decision even if you could rent for free!

 

San Francisco condominium Rent vs. Buy results:

condo

San Francisco single-family home Rent vs. Buy results:

home

 

The assumptions I made in the above calculations are as follows:

  • Purchase price: $1,045,000 for condos, $1,225,444 for single-family homes
  • Length of time in home: 5 years
  • Mortgage Rate: 4%
  • Down payment: 20%
  • Length of Mortgage: 30 years
  • Home price growth rate: 13.3% for condos, 20.0% for single-family homes (12-month average, the NYT calculator maxes out at 15%)
  • Rent growth rate: 13.5% (median one-bedroom increase in 2014)
  • Investment rate of return: 7% (approx. long-term average annual ROI of stocks)
  • Inflation Rate: 2%
  • Property tax rate: 1.19%
  • Marginal tax rate: 28%
  • Taxes filed on a Joint Return
  • Costs of buying a home: 3% (approx. closing costs)
  • Costs of selling a home: 8% (approx. closing costs + marketing + customary 5% commission to brokers)
  • Maintenance/renovation: 1%
  • Homeowner’s insurance: 0.1% (approx. $50-$100+ per month depending on property type)
  • Monthly utilities: $100
  • Monthly common fees: $600 for condos, $0 for single-family homes
  • Common fees deduction: 0%
  • Security Deposit: 1 month
  • Broker’s fee: 0%
  • Renter’s Insurance: 0.1%

 

San Francisco condominium median price growth, 2005 to present:

San Francisco single-family home median price growth, 2005 to present:

 

Are you getting my monthly San Francisco newsletter? You can subscribe here.

Meredith Martin is a Broker Associate at Paragon Real Estate Group and can be reached at Meredith@OpeningDoors.me

Share

A Broker Tour for the Record Books

 

With 309 new listings on the San Francisco Association of REALTORS® Broker Tour yesterday, there was no shortage of properties to see. In fact, including repeat properties, the Tour consisted of a total 477 properties — That’s more new and total listings than there’s been on any given Tour in years! Of the homes I previewed for clients and market research, here are three of my favorites:

1. 4173 Cesar Chavez Street, Noe Valley

From the MLS: Located on a rare cul-de-sac, this 4 bedroom, 3 full bath, 2 half bath house is the definition of modern luxury living and refined design. With 3 bedrooms on the top level and an Aupair suite on the entry level, its cohesive layout exhibits custom millwork throughout. The residence features a custom kitchen, library, dining area, and great room that opens to a stunning outdoor seating area and fireplace. The home is completed with a Speakeasy wet bar, media room, 2 car side-by-side garage, an elevator, 3 fireplaces (2 indoor, 1 outdoor), 3 decks (front deck, master suite deck, roof deck), and picturesque views of Downtown. The attention to detail validates that no expense was spared in the design and construction of this modern masterpiece. List Price: $4,850,000

Does your dream home include high-end finishes? If so, this one’s for you!

2. 458 Ashbury Street, Haight Ashbury

From the MLS: Reimagined Victorian completely rebuilt retaining period influences infused w/contemporary style, a blend of tradition & chic modernity. Graciously scaled rooms-large living room, family room w/dramatic accent wall, combined dining room & kitchen. Coved ceilings, molding, rosettes w/exquisite modern lighting & distinctive wall coverings enliven the spaces. Kitchen w/11-ft marble island, custom cabinetry, premium appliances, wet bar. Sizable deck w/built-in seating. Grand staircase w/custom iron-work. 2nd level: master suite w/sitting area, walk-in closet w/washer/dryer. Luxurious master bath w/dual sink vanity, soaking tub, walk-in shower, Calacatta Oro. 2 additional bedrooms, full bath. Top level: 2 bedrooms w/own bathrooms. Lower level: Exercise/media room, bathroom, sauna, 2 bonus rooms, storage, 3-car garage. List Price: $3,500,000

A shout out to BIRCH + TAYLOR for the gorgeous staging! According to CurbedSF, this home is one of the most intact Victorians on the market — and I’d have to agree. Stunning!

3. 3876 Clay Street, Presidio Heights

From the MLS: Stunning, top floor, two level ‘house-like’ condominium in a two-unit building, Built in 1909, thoroughly remodeled by current owner, under the guidance of interior designer Martha Angus. 4 bedrooms, 2 baths + 1 half bath with grand master suite. Living room and formal dining room with fireplaces. Spacious, sun-lit gourmet kitchen with eat-in banquet. Powder room, and separate laundry room. Two car (tandem) deeded parking, with tradesman entrance with interior access. Spectacular outdoor terrace (deeded to unit for owner’s exclusive use). Selected by 7×7 Magazine as the featured home residence in their annual ‘Design Issue’. List Price: $4,798,000

No need to stage this place — all the furniture, fixtures and artwork belong to the owner whom I met while touring the property. CurbedSF recently ran a story on the home which you can read here.

 

RealtyTrac says October 8th is the best day for home buyers in the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont metro area, when buyers have paid an average of 25 percent less than a home’s value on that particular day over the past 15 years. Certainly with the flood of new inventory in San Francisco, we may see bidding wars ease up and perhaps the beginning of price stabilization. What are you waiting for? Get out there and write some offers!

 

Are you getting my monthly San Francisco newsletter? You can subscribe here.

Meredith Martin is a Broker Associate at Paragon Real Estate Group and can be reached at Meredith@OpeningDoors.me

Share

Updated: New Condo Developments in San Francisco

 

 

 

 

For more information on any of the new condominium developments now selling or under construction, please contact me.

Are you getting my monthly San Francisco newsletter? You can subscribe here.

 

Meredith Martin is a Broker Associate at Paragon Real Estate Group and can be reached at Meredith@OpeningDoors.me

Share

Triple-Digit Temps, Six-Figure Overbids

 

It’s heating up — and I’m not just talking about the triple-digit temperatures around the Bay Area!

More than 145 properties have come on the market in San Francisco in the past seven days, signaling what promises to be a heated post-Labor Day selling season for local real estate. September is historically the biggest month for new listings, and while some things change — year-over-year lower inventory, fewer average days on market, higher median prices, etc. — this looks to be one trend that’s remaining constant.

 

Already this month, nearly a dozen homes have traded for 30% or more over list price; Even with the forthcoming wave of new inventory, sellers who price and market right have a good shot at realizing six-figure overbids. This article from the Wall Street Journal outlines some ways both home sellers and buyers can succeed at bidding wars, surely implemented with success by the sellers of some of San Francisco’s Top 20 Overbids.

Those competing for these properties are primarily high-paid tech professionals (the number of employed San Francisco residents is at a record high) and overseas buyers looking for investment properties. Just recently, San Francisco was named as one of the top cities for Chinese investors. Meanwhile, economic volatility abroad is underscoring the safety and profitability of real estate as an investment, and San Francisco real estate in particular has a proven track record of resilience. With that said…

Two looming events may impact local market performance in the next few weeks: interest rate hikes mandated by the Federal Reserve, and new disclosure rules effective October 3rd that will (at least temporarily) lengthen the escrow process. How will these play out? We’ll have to wait and see.

Are you getting my monthly San Francisco newsletter? You can subscribe here.

 

Meredith Martin is a Broker Associate at Paragon Real Estate Group and can be reached at Meredith@OpeningDoors.me

Share

San Francisco Real Estate on a < $1Million Budget

 

There’s the notion that a million dollars is the price you have to pay if you want to play in San Francisco’s red hot real estate market. After all, the most expensive properties get a lot of media attention– But if the median price is $1,160,000, that means almost half the properties on the market are selling for under $1 million.

Of those sub-million dollar properties, the majority are neither Below Market Rate units nor fixer-uppers, instead livable turn-key homes (search homes here). Socketsite recently published news of a double-digit uptick in the number of six-figure single-family homes for sale. Just this week, this two-bedroom single-family home in San Francisco’s Excelsior neighborhood sold for $630,000. The property is already occupied by an unprotected month-to-month tenant agreeable to paying market rent, making this a positive cashflow investment for the non-occupant buyer:

 

11828568_10153231072886219_2952473495617715402_n

 

Year to date, Excelsior has in fact had the most six-figure single-family home sales of any neighborhood:

 

image001

 

Last week, this two-bedroom two-bathroom condominium at the amenity-rich Telegraph Landing in San Francisco’s North Waterfront neighborhood sold for $950,000. It’s one of the almost 200 two-bedroom condos that have sold in 2015 so far:

 

10426193_10153074775116219_453162945833727154_n

image002

 

First-time homebuyer, investor, mom & pop… a million dollars is a lot of money to almost everyone, and opportunities do really exist beyond the hype of million dollar listings. Sure, prices have been reaching new peaks month after month, climbing to daunting highs. But actually San Francisco real estate is still more affordable now than at the height of the market in 2007, thanks to low mortgage interest rates:

 

Screen Shot 2015-07-10 at 3.31.15 PM

 

The frenzy that exists in San Francisco’s real estate market right now may be attributed to many factors: a booming local economy, low inventory, very few new residential developments, consumer confidence, credit availability, etc. As the city continues to stake its place as a world class destination, I believe prices will continue to rise — perhaps up to $3,000 per square foot, on par with Tokyo, Sydney and London. With that in mind, it may be only a matter of time before sub-million dollar home sales in the city are a thing of the past. Never underestimate the voracity of the San Francisco market!

 

Meredith Martin is a Broker Associate at Paragon Real Estate Group and can be reached at Meredith@OpeningDoors.me

Share